Republicans' electoral outlook in 2024 is growing increasingly ominous as multiple indicators suggest Republican base voters and lawmakers are so out of touch with the rest of America that the party could suffer devastating losses at the polls next year.
The dynamic primarily stems from a Republican electorate so walled off from American majorities that it increasingly adopts and even demands positions anathema to the rest of the country.
But demographic shifts in the voting electorate are also poised to supercharge that divide as younger voters who are more ideologically aligned with Democrats continue to grow their overall share of the voting electorate. At the same time, the vote share of white individuals without a college degree, the core of the Republican base, continues to decline.