Heavy election defeat could lead to Tory lurch to right, analysis shows

With another two-point slip from current polling, about 40% of Tory MPs would come from populist right

A catastrophic election defeat could lead to the parliamentary Conservative party tilting towards the populist right, Guardian analysis has indicated.

A projection of the seats the Conservatives would retain if there was a further two percentage point swing to Labour before election day, using data from Electoral Calculus, shows that about 40% of the remaining MPs would come from this wing of the party.