Ukraine Update: Bakhmut appears to be in crisis, again, as areas of Russian occupation expand

1 year ago 53

It’s just another number, but still it does bring a feeling of satisfaction. On Saturday morning, Oryx reported that confirmed Russian losses of vehicles and heavy weaponry have reached 10,000 visually confirmed losses. The number, as of this writing, actually stands at 10,003 after some additional losses were tallied.

As always with these numbers, the actual number of units Russia has lost is certainly higher — we just don’t know how much higher. For example, Oryx now puts the number of Russian tanks lost at 1,927. Meanwhile, in numbers also out this morning, the Ukrainian military general staff puts that number at 3,636. The real value is almost certainly somewhere in between. The Oryx value represents the bare minimum. We know Russia has lost at least this many. 

Even that minimum number also crossed a kind of line on Saturday. Based on numbers from both Oryx and Military Balance 2022, Russia has now lost 50% of all tanks that it had in active service before beginning the invasion of Ukraine. Again, this is based on the minimum, visually confirmed, value provided by Oryx. If the higher value from the Ukrainian military is accurate, then Russia has lost well over two thirds of its entire tank force.

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