1 week ago
4
Democrats have long banked on the idea that the more people who vote, the better their chances of winning are. But in 2024, that just wasn’t true.
While nationwide turnout this year is projected to be down very slightly from 2020, the swing states tell a different story. Across six of the seven states that decided the election—Michigan, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, and Wisconsin—more voters cast a ballot in the 2024 presidential election than in 2016 or 2020, according to a Daily Kos analysis of Associated Press vote totals as of Monday at 3:30 PM ET.
The only swing state with lower turnout was Arizona—but there’s a big caveat here. Only 92% of the state’s estimated vote has been reported. And if you add another 8% to its current vote total, it shows a net increase from 2020 of about 20,000 votes. In other words, after everything is tallied, Arizona’s raw vote total this year will likely be on par with 2020’s, if not a little higher.
As it stands, on net, over 367,000 more people voted in the seven battleground states this year than in 2020. And compared with 2016? It’s not even close. In those seven states, a combined 4.9 million more people voted this year than in 2016.
